Club Brugge
2-3
Aston Villa
Club Brugge – Aston Villa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 59 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.08 – 1.22
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Club Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa. The model predicted a win for Club Brugge (59 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.08 goals for Club Brugge and 1.22 for Aston Villa. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, Club Brugge took 12 points and Aston Villa 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Club Brugge, 0 draws, 2 wins for Aston Villa. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Club Brugge | 2.50 | 38 % | +46.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.58 | 27 % | -32.3 % |
| 2Aston Villa | 2.73 | 35 % | -38.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Club Brugge
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Aston Villa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Club Brugge
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Aston Villa
- Aston Villa3-0Club Brugge
- Club Brugge1-3Aston Villa
- Club Brugge1-0Aston Villa
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Club Brugge – Aston Villa?
Final score: Club Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa. The model predicted a win for Club Brugge (59 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Club Brugge – Aston Villa?
Our model gives 1 · Club Brugge a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Club Brugge win 59 %, draw 19 %, Aston Villa win 23 %.