SV Elversberg
FC Augsburg
SV Elversberg – FC Augsburg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.84 – 1.30
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: SV Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg. The model predicted a win for SV Elversberg (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.84 goals for SV Elversberg and 1.30 for FC Augsburg. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, SV Elversberg took 7 points and FC Augsburg 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SV Elversberg | 2.45 | 38 % | +20.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.67 | 25 % | -4.4 % |
| 2FC Augsburg | 2.58 | 36 % | -36.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
SV Elversberg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Augsburg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of SV Elversberg – FC Augsburg?
Final score: SV Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg. The model predicted a win for SV Elversberg (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win SV Elversberg – FC Augsburg?
Our model gives 1 · SV Elversberg a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SV Elversberg win 49 %, draw 26 %, FC Augsburg win 25 %.