Hamburg SV
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburg SV – VfB Stuttgart
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.07 – 2.22
The short version
Final score: Hamburg SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart. The model predicted a win for VfB Stuttgart (58 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.07 goals for Hamburg SV and 2.22 for VfB Stuttgart. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Hamburg SV took 6 points and VfB Stuttgart 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Hamburg SV, 0 draws, 1 win for VfB Stuttgart. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hamburg SV | 3.90 | 24 % | -31.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +2.1 % |
| 2VfB Stuttgart | 1.75 | 54 % | +1.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hamburg SV
- Last 5 matches
- At home
VfB Stuttgart
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Hamburg SV
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart4-0Hamburg SV
- Hamburg SV2-1VfB Stuttgart
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hamburg SV – VfB Stuttgart?
Final score: Hamburg SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart. The model predicted a win for VfB Stuttgart (58 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Hamburg SV – VfB Stuttgart?
Our model gives 2 · VfB Stuttgart a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hamburg SV win 18 %, draw 24 %, VfB Stuttgart win 58 %.