1. FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.02 – 2.38
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: 1. FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund. The model predicted a win for Borussia Dortmund (65 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.02 goals for 1. FC Union Berlin and 2.38 for Borussia Dortmund. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 60 %. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Union Berlin took 4 points and Borussia Dortmund 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for 1. FC Union Berlin, 0 draws, 4 wins for Borussia Dortmund. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Union Berlin | 5.15 | 18 % | -30.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.25 | 22 % | -9.8 % |
| 2Borussia Dortmund | 1.58 | 60 % | +3.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
1. FC Union Berlin
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Borussia Dortmund
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Borussia Dortmund
- 1. FC Union Berlin0-3Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund3-01. FC Union Berlin
- Borussia Dortmund6-01. FC Union Berlin
- 1. FC Union Berlin2-1Borussia Dortmund
- 1. FC Union Berlin0-2Borussia Dortmund
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of 1. FC Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund?
Final score: 1. FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund. The model predicted a win for Borussia Dortmund (65 %): missed prediction.