Padova
Virtus Entella
Padova – Virtus Entella
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.17
The short version
Final score: Padova 1-2 Virtus Entella. The model predicted a win for Padova (38 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.28 goals for Padova and 1.17 for Virtus Entella. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Padova took 4 points and Virtus Entella 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Padova, 0 draws, 1 win for Virtus Entella. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Padova | 2.55 | 37 % | -4.3 % |
| XDraw | 2.90 | 33 % | -12.9 % |
| 2Virtus Entella | 3.10 | 30 % | +0.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Padova
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Virtus Entella
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Padova
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Virtus Entella
- Virtus Entella1-0Padova
- Padova2-1Virtus Entella
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Padova – Virtus Entella?
Final score: Padova 1-2 Virtus Entella. The model predicted a win for Padova (38 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Padova – Virtus Entella?
Our model gives 1 · Padova a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Padova win 38 %, draw 30 %, Virtus Entella win 32 %.