Espanyol
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol – Atlético Madrid
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.99 – 1.73
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Espanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid. The model predicted a win for Atlético Madrid (56 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.99 goals for Espanyol and 1.73 for Atlético Madrid. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Espanyol took 5 points and Atlético Madrid 15 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Espanyol, 3 draws, 1 win for Atlético Madrid. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Espanyol | 4.80 | 20 % | -7.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | -1.8 % |
| 2Atlético Madrid | 1.71 | 56 % | -4.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Espanyol
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlético Madrid
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Espanyol
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Atlético Madrid
- Atlético Madrid4-2Espanyol
- Espanyol2-1Atlético Madrid
- Espanyol1-1Atlético Madrid
- Atlético Madrid0-0Espanyol
- Espanyol3-3Atlético Madrid
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Espanyol – Atlético Madrid?
Final score: Espanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid. The model predicted a win for Atlético Madrid (56 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Espanyol – Atlético Madrid?
Our model gives 2 · Atlético Madrid a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Espanyol win 19 %, draw 25 %, Atlético Madrid win 56 %.