Nantes
Dunkerque
Nantes – Dunkerque
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.04
The short version
Final score: Nantes 2-3 Dunkerque. The model predicted a win for Nantes (46 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.52 goals for Nantes and 1.04 for Dunkerque. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Nantes took 8 points and Dunkerque 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nantes | 1.64 | 58 % | -24.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | +14.0 % |
| 2Dunkerque | 5.00 | 19 % | +26.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Nantes
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dunkerque
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nantes – Dunkerque?
Final score: Nantes 2-3 Dunkerque. The model predicted a win for Nantes (46 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Nantes – Dunkerque?
Our model gives 1 · Nantes a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Nantes win 46 %, draw 28 %, Dunkerque win 25 %.