Metz
Sochaux
Metz – Sochaux
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.61 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Metz 3-2 Sochaux. The model predicted a win for Metz (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.61 goals for Metz and 0.96 for Sochaux. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Metz took 5 points and Sochaux 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Metz, 0 draws, 0 wins for Sochaux. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Metz | 1.76 | 54 % | -11.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +0.2 % |
| 2Sochaux | 4.40 | 21 % | -0.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Metz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sochaux
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Metz
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Sochaux
- Sochaux0-1Metz
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Metz – Sochaux?
Final score: Metz 3-2 Sochaux. The model predicted a win for Metz (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Metz – Sochaux?
Our model gives 1 · Metz a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Metz win 51 %, draw 27 %, Sochaux win 23 %.