Real Sociedad II
Almería
Real Sociedad II – Almería
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.01 – 1.57
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Real Sociedad II 2-4 Almería. The model predicted a win for Almería (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.01 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.57 for Almería. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Real Sociedad II took 3 points and Almería 15 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Real Sociedad II, 1 draw, 1 win for Almería. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Sociedad II | 3.50 | 27 % | -21.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -1.5 % |
| 2Almería | 2.00 | 47 % | +0.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Real Sociedad II
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Almería
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Real Sociedad II
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Almería
- Almería5-1Real Sociedad II
- Real Sociedad II2-2Almería
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Sociedad II – Almería?
Final score: Real Sociedad II 2-4 Almería. The model predicted a win for Almería (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Real Sociedad II – Almería?
Our model gives 2 · Almería a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Sociedad II win 22 %, draw 27 %, Almería win 50 %.