Millwall
Lincoln City
Millwall – Lincoln City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.69 – 0.91
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Millwall 2-2 Lincoln City. The model predicted a win for Millwall (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.69 goals for Millwall and 0.91 for Lincoln City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 60 %. Over their last five matches, Millwall took 5 points and Lincoln City 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Millwall | 1.55 | 60 % | -18.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | +14.4 % |
| 2Lincoln City | 5.50 | 17 % | +9.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Millwall
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lincoln City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Millwall – Lincoln City?
Final score: Millwall 2-2 Lincoln City. The model predicted a win for Millwall (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Millwall – Lincoln City?
Our model gives 1 · Millwall a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Millwall win 52 %, draw 28 %, Lincoln City win 20 %.