Middlesbrough
Cardiff City
Middlesbrough – Cardiff City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.16 – 0.95
The short version
Final score: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City. The model predicted a win for Middlesbrough (67 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.16 goals for Middlesbrough and 0.95 for Cardiff City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 62 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Middlesbrough took 11 points and Cardiff City 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 1 draw, 0 wins for Cardiff City. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Middlesbrough | 1.52 | 62 % | +1.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | -13.7 % |
| 2Cardiff City | 5.25 | 18 % | -21.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Middlesbrough
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cardiff City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Middlesbrough
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Cardiff City
- Middlesbrough1-1Cardiff City
- Cardiff City0-2Middlesbrough
- Cardiff City1-4Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough2-0Cardiff City
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Middlesbrough – Cardiff City?
Final score: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City. The model predicted a win for Middlesbrough (67 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Middlesbrough – Cardiff City?
Our model gives 1 · Middlesbrough a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Middlesbrough win 67 %, draw 18 %, Cardiff City win 15 %.