Everton
Chelsea
Everton – Chelsea
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-28 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.47 – 1.48
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Everton 0-2 Chelsea. The model predicted a win for Chelsea (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.47 goals for Everton and 1.48 for Chelsea. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, Everton took 9 points and Chelsea 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Everton, 1 draw, 3 wins for Chelsea. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Everton | 3.13 | 31 % | +13.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -1.7 % |
| 2Chelsea | 2.17 | 44 % | -18.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Everton
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chelsea
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Everton
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Chelsea
- Everton3-0Chelsea
- Chelsea2-0Everton
- Chelsea1-0Everton
- Everton0-0Chelsea
- Chelsea6-0Everton
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Everton – Chelsea?
Final score: Everton 0-2 Chelsea. The model predicted a win for Chelsea (37 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Everton – Chelsea?
Our model gives 2 · Chelsea a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Everton win 36 %, draw 26 %, Chelsea win 37 %.