Kaiserslautern
VfL Bochum
Kaiserslautern – VfL Bochum
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.64 – 1.05
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Kaiserslautern at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.64 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.05 for VfL Bochum. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Kaiserslautern took 10 points and VfL Bochum 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kaiserslautern, 0 draws, 1 win for VfL Bochum. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kaiserslautern | 2.20 | 43 % | +8.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -4.3 % |
| 2VfL Bochum | 3.00 | 31 % | -28.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Kaiserslautern
- Last 5 matches
- At home
VfL Bochum
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kaiserslautern
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- VfL Bochum
- VfL Bochum3-2Kaiserslautern
- Kaiserslautern3-2VfL Bochum
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kaiserslautern – VfL Bochum?
Our model gives 1 · Kaiserslautern a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kaiserslautern win 49 %, draw 27 %, VfL Bochum win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Kaiserslautern – VfL Bochum?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.