Shandong Taishan
Zhejiang Professional FC
Shandong Taishan – Zhejiang Professional FC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.95 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65 %
- Both teams to score
- 65 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Shandong Taishan at home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.95 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.39 for Zhejiang Professional FC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Shandong Taishan took 8 points and Zhejiang Professional FC 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Shandong Taishan, 2 draws, 1 win for Zhejiang Professional FC. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Shandong Taishan | 1.74 | 54 % | -10.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 21 % | +4.2 % |
| 2Zhejiang Professional FC | 3.70 | 25 % | -7.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Shandong Taishan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Zhejiang Professional FC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Shandong Taishan
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Zhejiang Professional FC
- Zhejiang Professional FC4-1Shandong Taishan
- Zhejiang Professional FC2-2Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan4-2Zhejiang Professional FC
- Zhejiang Professional FC3-3Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan3-0
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Shandong Taishan – Zhejiang Professional FC?
Our model gives 1 · Shandong Taishan a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Shandong Taishan win 51 %, draw 24 %, Zhejiang Professional FC win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for Shandong Taishan – Zhejiang Professional FC?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.