Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Yunnan Yukun – Chongqing Tonglianglong
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.98 – 1.23
The short version
Final score: Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Chongqing Tonglianglong. The model predicted a win for Yunnan Yukun (51 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.98 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 1.23 for Chongqing Tonglianglong. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Yunnan Yukun took 7 points and Chongqing Tonglianglong 3 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Yunnan Yukun, 1 draw, 0 wins for Chongqing Tonglianglong. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Yunnan Yukun | 1.62 | 59 % | -18.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.30 | 22 % | +13.8 % |
| 2Chongqing Tonglianglong | 4.90 | 19 % | +12.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Yunnan Yukun
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Yunnan Yukun
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Chongqing Tonglianglong0-0Yunnan Yukun
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Yunnan Yukun – Chongqing Tonglianglong?
Final score: Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Chongqing Tonglianglong. The model predicted a win for Yunnan Yukun (51 %): missed prediction.