Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus
Kashiwa Reysol – Nagoya Grampus
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.84 – 1.05
The short version
Final score: Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Nagoya Grampus. The model predicted a win for Kashiwa Reysol (57 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.84 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.05 for Nagoya Grampus. Bookmakers say the same thing: 59 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kashiwa Reysol took 12 points and Nagoya Grampus 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Kashiwa Reysol, 1 draw, 2 wins for Nagoya Grampus. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kashiwa Reysol | 1.60 | 59 % | -8.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.30 | 22 % | -0.9 % |
| 2Nagoya Grampus | 4.90 | 19 % | -4.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kashiwa Reysol
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nagoya Grampus
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Kashiwa Reysol
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Nagoya Grampus
- Kashiwa Reysol1-0Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-2Kashiwa Reysol
- Nagoya Grampus2-1Kashiwa Reysol
- Kashiwa Reysol0-2Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-1Kashiwa Reysol
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kashiwa Reysol – Nagoya Grampus?
Final score: Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Nagoya Grampus. The model predicted a win for Kashiwa Reysol (57 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol – Nagoya Grampus?
Our model gives 1 · Kashiwa Reysol a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kashiwa Reysol win 57 %, draw 23 %, Nagoya Grampus win 20 %.