Tokyo Verdy 1969
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy 1969 – FC Tokyo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.91 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Tokyo away from home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.91 goals for Tokyo Verdy 1969 and 1.64 for FC Tokyo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Tokyo Verdy 1969 took 2 points and FC Tokyo 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Tokyo Verdy 1969, 3 draws, 2 wins for FC Tokyo. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tokyo Verdy 1969 | 4.90 | 19 % | -9.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -5.1 % |
| 2FC Tokyo | 1.66 | 56 % | -6.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Tokyo Verdy 1969
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Tokyo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Tokyo Verdy 1969
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo2-1Tokyo Verdy 1969
- Tokyo Verdy 19690-0FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo1-0Tokyo Verdy 1969
- Tokyo Verdy 19692-2FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo0-0Tokyo Verdy 1969
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tokyo Verdy 1969 – FC Tokyo?
Our model gives 2 · FC Tokyo a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tokyo Verdy 1969 win 19 %, draw 25 %, FC Tokyo win 56 %.
What is the most likely score for Tokyo Verdy 1969 – FC Tokyo?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.