Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Kyoto Sanga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 73 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.35 – 0.80
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Kyoto Sanga. The model predicted a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (73 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.35 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.80 for Kyoto Sanga. Bookmakers say the same thing: 69 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 12 points and Kyoto Sanga 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 1 draw, 3 wins for Kyoto Sanga. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.36 | 69 % | -1.3 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | -4.1 % |
| 2Kyoto Sanga | 7.50 | 13 % | -31.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kyoto Sanga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Kyoto Sanga
- Kyoto Sanga0-4Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima1-2Kyoto Sanga
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima1-1Kyoto Sanga
- Kyoto Sanga1-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima0-1Kyoto Sanga
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Kyoto Sanga?
Final score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Kyoto Sanga. The model predicted a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (73 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Kyoto Sanga?
Our model gives 1 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 73 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 73 %, draw 18 %, Kyoto Sanga win 9 %.