JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba – Yokohama F. Marinos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.95 – 1.63
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Yokohama F. Marinos away from home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.95 goals for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba and 1.63 for Yokohama F. Marinos. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 5 points and Yokohama F. Marinos 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba, 0 draws, 2 wins for Yokohama F. Marinos. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1JEF United Ichihara-Chiba | 3.55 | 26 % | -23.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -11.9 % |
| 2Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.95 | 48 % | +4.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Yokohama F. Marinos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Yokohama F. Marinos
- JEF United Ichihara-Chiba2-3Yokohama F. Marinos
- Yokohama F. Marinos2-0JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
Frequently asked questions
Who will win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba – Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our model gives 2 · Yokohama F. Marinos a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: JEF United Ichihara-Chiba win 22 %, draw 25 %, Yokohama F. Marinos win 54 %.
What is the most likely score for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba – Yokohama F. Marinos?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.