Shimizu S-Pulse
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-Pulse – Gamba Osaka
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.18 – 1.34
The short version
Final score: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Gamba Osaka. The model predicted a win for Gamba Osaka (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.18 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.34 for Gamba Osaka. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Shimizu S-Pulse took 10 points and Gamba Osaka 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Shimizu S-Pulse, 2 draws, 2 wins for Gamba Osaka. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Shimizu S-Pulse | 2.25 | 42 % | -26.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -1.8 % |
| 2Gamba Osaka | 3.05 | 31 % | +18.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Shimizu S-Pulse
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Gamba Osaka
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Shimizu S-Pulse
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Gamba Osaka
- Shimizu S-Pulse1-2Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka2-2Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse0-0Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka1-0Shimizu S-Pulse
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Shimizu S-Pulse – Gamba Osaka?
Final score: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Gamba Osaka. The model predicted a win for Gamba Osaka (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse – Gamba Osaka?
Our model gives 2 · Gamba Osaka a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Shimizu S-Pulse win 33 %, draw 28 %, Gamba Osaka win 39 %.