Ponte Preta
Atlético Goianiense
Ponte Preta – Atlético Goianiense
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 66 %
- Most likely score
- 0-114 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.73 – 1.87
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ponte Preta 1-1 Atlético Goianiense. The model predicted a win for Atlético Goianiense (66 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.73 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.87 for Atlético Goianiense. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 71 %. Over their last five matches, Ponte Preta took 3 points and Atlético Goianiense 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Ponte Preta, 0 draws, 2 wins for Atlético Goianiense. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ponte Preta | 9.00 | 10 % | +30.1 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | -0.9 % |
| 2Atlético Goianiense | 1.33 | 71 % | -12.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ponte Preta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlético Goianiense
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Ponte Preta
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Atlético Goianiense
- Atlético Goianiense2-0Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta0-2Atlético Goianiense
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ponte Preta – Atlético Goianiense?
Final score: Ponte Preta 1-1 Atlético Goianiense. The model predicted a win for Atlético Goianiense (66 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Ponte Preta – Atlético Goianiense?
Our model gives 2 · Atlético Goianiense a 66 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ponte Preta win 14 %, draw 20 %, Atlético Goianiense win 66 %.