Deportivo
Levante
Deportivo – Levante
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 1.13
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Deportivo at home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Deportivo and 1.13 for Levante. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Deportivo took 5 points and Levante 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Deportivo, 0 draws, 2 wins for Levante. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportivo | 2.10 | 45 % | -2.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -2.7 % |
| 2Levante | 3.45 | 28 % | -10.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Deportivo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Levante
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Deportivo
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Levante
- Deportivo1-2Levante
- Levante2-1Deportivo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Deportivo – Levante?
Our model gives 1 · Deportivo a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Deportivo win 46 %, draw 28 %, Levante win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo – Levante?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.