Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Cologne
Eintracht Frankfurt – FC Cologne
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.01 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66 %
- Both teams to score
- 65 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Eintracht Frankfurt at home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.01 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.39 for FC Cologne. Bookmakers say the same thing: 49 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Eintracht Frankfurt took 5 points and FC Cologne 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt, 2 draws, 1 win for FC Cologne. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.91 | 49 % | -8.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.03 | 23 % | +1.1 % |
| 2FC Cologne | 3.35 | 28 % | -11.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Cologne
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- FC Cologne
- Eintracht Frankfurt2-2FC Cologne
- FC Cologne3-4Eintracht Frankfurt
- FC Cologne2-0Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt1-1FC Cologne
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt – FC Cologne?
Our model gives 1 · Eintracht Frankfurt a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Eintracht Frankfurt win 48 %, draw 25 %, FC Cologne win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for Eintracht Frankfurt – FC Cologne?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.