Stade de Reims
Dijon FCO
Stade de Reims – Dijon FCO
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.64 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade de Reims at home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.64 goals for Stade de Reims and 1.10 for Dijon FCO. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Stade de Reims took 9 points and Dijon FCO 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stade de Reims | 1.71 | 55 % | -13.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +5.4 % |
| 2Dijon FCO | 4.30 | 22 % | -1.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Stade de Reims
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dijon FCO
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stade de Reims – Dijon FCO?
Our model gives 1 · Stade de Reims a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stade de Reims win 51 %, draw 27 %, Dijon FCO win 23 %.
What is the most likely score for Stade de Reims – Dijon FCO?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.