Guingamp
Pau
Guingamp – Pau
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.22
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Guingamp 1-2 Pau. The model predicted a win for Guingamp (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for Guingamp and 1.22 for Pau. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Guingamp took 5 points and Pau 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Guingamp, 1 draw, 2 wins for Pau. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Guingamp | 2.20 | 43 % | -9.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -0.3 % |
| 2Pau | 3.10 | 31 % | -3.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Guingamp
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Pau
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Guingamp
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Pau
- Pau2-1Guingamp
- Guingamp2-2Pau
- Pau1-3Guingamp
- Guingamp0-1Pau
- Pau1-2Guingamp
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Guingamp – Pau?
Final score: Guingamp 1-2 Pau. The model predicted a win for Guingamp (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Guingamp – Pau?
Our model gives 1 · Guingamp a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Guingamp win 41 %, draw 28 %, Pau win 31 %.