Annecy
AS Nancy Lorraine
Annecy – AS Nancy Lorraine
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Annecy at home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Annecy and 1.04 for AS Nancy Lorraine. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. This is the card's value bet: at odds of 2.65, the predicted outcome carries +27.7 % of expected return by the model's reckoning. Over their last five matches, Annecy took 7 points and AS Nancy Lorraine 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Annecy, 0 draws, 1 win for AS Nancy Lorraine. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Annecy | 2.65 | 35 % | +27.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -7.7 % |
| 2AS Nancy Lorraine | 2.55 |
Form and statistics
Annecy
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AS Nancy Lorraine
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Annecy
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- AS Nancy Lorraine
- AS Nancy Lorraine1-5Annecy
- Annecy1-2AS Nancy Lorraine
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Annecy – AS Nancy Lorraine?
Our model gives 1 · Annecy a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Annecy win 48 %, draw 28 %, AS Nancy Lorraine win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Annecy – AS Nancy Lorraine?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.