Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna – TSV Hartberg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 71 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.46 – 0.83
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rapid Vienna at home (71 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.46 goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.83 for TSV Hartberg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 72 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rapid Vienna took 12 points and TSV Hartberg 11 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Rapid Vienna, 2 draws, 2 wins for TSV Hartberg. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rapid Vienna | 1.29 | 72 % | -8.5 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | +9.2 % |
| 2TSV Hartberg | 8.00 | 12 % | -19.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Rapid Vienna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
TSV Hartberg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Rapid Vienna
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- TSV Hartberg
- Rapid Vienna0-2TSV Hartberg
- TSV Hartberg2-2Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna1-1TSV Hartberg
- TSV Hartberg0-1Rapid Vienna
- TSV Hartberg2-1Rapid Vienna
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rapid Vienna – TSV Hartberg?
Our model gives 1 · Rapid Vienna a 71 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rapid Vienna win 71 %, draw 19 %, TSV Hartberg win 10 %.
What is the most likely score for Rapid Vienna – TSV Hartberg?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.