IF Brommapojkarna
Djurgården
IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgården
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 2.01
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Djurgården away from home (58 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.08 goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 2.01 for Djurgården. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 63 %. Over their last five matches, IF Brommapojkarna took 6 points and Djurgården 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for IF Brommapojkarna, 0 draws, 4 wins for Djurgården. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IF Brommapojkarna | 5.75 | 16 % | +9.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.60 | 20 % | +4.3 % |
| 2Djurgården | 1.47 | 63 % | -14.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
IF Brommapojkarna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Djurgården
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- IF Brommapojkarna
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Djurgården
- Djurgården1-2IF Brommapojkarna
- Djurgården1-0IF Brommapojkarna
- IF Brommapojkarna0-1Djurgården
- Djurgården2-1IF Brommapojkarna
- IF Brommapojkarna0-5Djurgården
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgården?
Our model gives 2 · Djurgården a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IF Brommapojkarna win 19 %, draw 23 %, Djurgården win 58 %.
What is the most likely score for IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgården?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.