Çorum FK
Caykur Rizespor
Çorum FK – Caykur Rizespor
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 15, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.77 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Çorum FK at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.77 goals for Çorum FK and 1.18 for Caykur Rizespor. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Çorum FK took 9 points and Caykur Rizespor 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Çorum FK | 2.05 | 46 % | +1.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -7.6 % |
| 2Caykur Rizespor | 3.25 | 29 % | -17.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Çorum FK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Caykur Rizespor
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Çorum FK – Caykur Rizespor?
Our model gives 1 · Çorum FK a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Çorum FK win 49 %, draw 25 %, Caykur Rizespor win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for Çorum FK – Caykur Rizespor?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.