Stade Rennais
OFI Crete
Stade Rennais – OFI Crete
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 74 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.30 – 0.77
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade Rennais at home (74 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.30 goals for Stade Rennais and 0.77 for OFI Crete. Bookmakers say the same thing: 76 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Stade Rennais took 10 points and OFI Crete 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stade Rennais | 1.25 | 76 % | -8.1 % |
| XDraw | 6.25 | 15 % | -1.2 % |
| 2OFI Crete | 11.25 | 8 % | +19.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Stade Rennais
- Last 5 matches
- At home
OFI Crete
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stade Rennais – OFI Crete?
Our model gives 1 · Stade Rennais a 74 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stade Rennais win 74 %, draw 16 %, OFI Crete win 11 %.
What is the most likely score for Stade Rennais – OFI Crete?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.