NEC Nijmegen
Levski Sofia
NEC Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 59 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.70 – 0.90
The short version
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia. The model predicted a win for NEC Nijmegen (59 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.70 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.90 for Levski Sofia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, NEC Nijmegen took 3 points and Levski Sofia 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1NEC Nijmegen | 1.85 | 51 % | +10.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.77 | 25 % | -19.6 % |
| 2Levski Sofia | 3.90 | 24 % | -24.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
NEC Nijmegen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Levski Sofia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of NEC Nijmegen – Levski Sofia?
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia. The model predicted a win for NEC Nijmegen (59 %): missed prediction.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen – Levski Sofia?
Our model gives 1 · NEC Nijmegen a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: NEC Nijmegen win 59 %, draw 21 %, Levski Sofia win 19 %.