Marseille
Olympiacos
Marseille – Olympiacos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.32
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos. The model predicted a win for Marseille (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.36 goals for Marseille and 1.32 for Olympiacos. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Marseille took 3 points and Olympiacos 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Marseille | 2.30 | 41 % | -11.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.52 | 27 % | -9.1 % |
| 2Olympiacos | 3.00 | 32 % | +7.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Marseille
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Olympiacos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Marseille – Olympiacos?
Final score: Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos. The model predicted a win for Marseille (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Marseille – Olympiacos?
Our model gives 1 · Marseille a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Marseille win 39 %, draw 26 %, Olympiacos win 36 %.