Celta Vigo
Juventus
Celta Vigo – Juventus
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.19 – 1.52
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Juventus away from home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.19 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.52 for Juventus. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Celta Vigo took 6 points and Juventus 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celta Vigo | 3.55 | 27 % | +6.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -21.3 % |
| 2Juventus | 2.15 | 44 % | -0.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Celta Vigo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Juventus
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Celta Vigo – Juventus?
Our model gives 2 · Juventus a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Celta Vigo win 30 %, draw 24 %, Juventus win 46 %.
What is the most likely score for Celta Vigo – Juventus?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.