AFC Bournemouth
SK Sturm Graz
AFC Bournemouth – SK Sturm Graz
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.92 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 3-0 SK Sturm Graz. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (60 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.92 goals for AFC Bournemouth and 0.89 for SK Sturm Graz. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 80 %. Over their last five matches, AFC Bournemouth took 7 points and SK Sturm Graz 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AFC Bournemouth | 1.19 | 80 % | -28.2 % |
| XDraw | 7.25 | 13 % | +57.8 % |
| 2SK Sturm Graz | 14.00 | 7 % | +151.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AFC Bournemouth
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SK Sturm Graz
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth – SK Sturm Graz?
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 3-0 SK Sturm Graz. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (60 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth – SK Sturm Graz?
Our model gives 1 · AFC Bournemouth a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AFC Bournemouth win 60 %, draw 22 %, SK Sturm Graz win 18 %.