Sparta Prague
Lillestrom
Sparta Prague – Lillestrom
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.80 – 1.01
The short version
Final score: Sparta Prague 1-1 Lillestrom. The model predicted a win for Sparta Prague (62 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.80 goals for Sparta Prague and 1.01 for Lillestrom. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 71 %. Over their last five matches, Sparta Prague took 6 points and Lillestrom 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sparta Prague | 1.34 | 71 % | -16.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | +13.2 % |
| 2Lillestrom | 8.00 | 12 % | +39.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sparta Prague
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lillestrom
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sparta Prague – Lillestrom?
Final score: Sparta Prague 1-1 Lillestrom. The model predicted a win for Sparta Prague (62 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sparta Prague – Lillestrom?
Our model gives 1 · Sparta Prague a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sparta Prague win 62 %, draw 21 %, Lillestrom win 17 %.