RB Salzburg
AC Milan
RB Salzburg – AC Milan
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.53 – 1.17
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: RB Salzburg 0-4 AC Milan. The model predicted a win for RB Salzburg (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.53 goals for RB Salzburg and 1.17 for AC Milan. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 29 %. Over their last five matches, RB Salzburg took 11 points and AC Milan 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1RB Salzburg | 3.30 | 29 % | +48.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.73 | 25 % | +1.9 % |
| 2AC Milan | 2.08 | 46 % | -42.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
RB Salzburg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AC Milan
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of RB Salzburg – AC Milan?
Final score: RB Salzburg 0-4 AC Milan. The model predicted a win for RB Salzburg (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win RB Salzburg – AC Milan?
Our model gives 1 · RB Salzburg a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: RB Salzburg win 45 %, draw 27 %, AC Milan win 28 %.