Lyon
Crystal Palace
Lyon – Crystal Palace
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.77 – 1.05
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lyon 3-2 Crystal Palace. The model predicted a win for Lyon (57 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.77 goals for Lyon and 1.05 for Crystal Palace. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, Lyon took 10 points and Crystal Palace 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lyon | 2.27 | 42 % | +29.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.67 | 26 % | -18.9 % |
| 2Crystal Palace | 3.02 | 32 % | -36.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lyon
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Crystal Palace
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lyon – Crystal Palace?
Final score: Lyon 3-2 Crystal Palace. The model predicted a win for Lyon (57 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lyon – Crystal Palace?
Our model gives 1 · Lyon a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lyon win 57 %, draw 22 %, Crystal Palace win 21 %.