Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
Lech Poznan – Bayer Leverkusen
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 2.02
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen. The model predicted a win for Bayer Leverkusen (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.26 goals for Lech Poznan and 2.02 for Bayer Leverkusen. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Lech Poznan took 10 points and Bayer Leverkusen 13 points. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lech Poznan | 4.67 | 20 % | +8.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.35 | 22 % | -0.6 % |
| 2Bayer Leverkusen | 1.63 | 58 % | -12.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lech Poznan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bayer Leverkusen
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lech Poznan – Bayer Leverkusen?
Final score: Lech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen. The model predicted a win for Bayer Leverkusen (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lech Poznan – Bayer Leverkusen?
Our model gives 2 · Bayer Leverkusen a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lech Poznan win 23 %, draw 23 %, Bayer Leverkusen win 54 %.