Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
Al Faisaly – Al Kholood
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.14 – 1.53
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Al Kholood away from home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.14 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.53 for Al Kholood. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Al Faisaly took 3 points and Al Kholood 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Faisaly | 3.30 | 28 % | -2.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -2.1 % |
| 2Al Kholood | 2.05 | 45 % | -13.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Al Faisaly
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Al Kholood
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Al Faisaly – Al Kholood?
Our model gives 2 · Al Kholood a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Al Faisaly win 30 %, draw 28 %, Al Kholood win 42 %.
What is the most likely score for Al Faisaly – Al Kholood?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.