Lincoln City
West Ham United
Lincoln City – West Ham United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 13, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.17 – 1.68
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards West Ham United away from home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.17 goals for Lincoln City and 1.68 for West Ham United. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Lincoln City took 6 points and West Ham United 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Lincoln City, 0 draws, 1 win for West Ham United. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lincoln City | 4.75 | 20 % | +18.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 23 % | +6.6 % |
| 2West Ham United | 1.65 | 57 % | -20.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Lincoln City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
West Ham United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Lincoln City
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- West Ham United
- Lincoln City0-1West Ham United
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lincoln City – West Ham United?
Our model gives 2 · West Ham United a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lincoln City win 25 %, draw 27 %, West Ham United win 48 %.
What is the most likely score for Lincoln City – West Ham United?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.