LASK Linz
Liverpool
LASK Linz – Liverpool
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 13, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.47
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards LASK Linz at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.60 goals for LASK Linz and 1.47 for Liverpool. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 10 %. This is the card's value bet: at odds of 9.50, the predicted outcome carries +271.8 % of expected return by the model's reckoning. Over their last five matches, LASK Linz took 4 points and Liverpool 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for LASK Linz, 0 draws, 2 wins for Liverpool. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1LASK Linz | 9.50 | 10 % | +271.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | +37.9 % |
| 2Liverpool | 1.28 |
Form and statistics
LASK Linz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Liverpool
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- LASK Linz
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Liverpool
- Liverpool4-0LASK Linz
- LASK Linz1-3Liverpool
Frequently asked questions
Who will win LASK Linz – Liverpool?
Our model gives 1 · LASK Linz a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: LASK Linz win 39 %, draw 24 %, Liverpool win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for LASK Linz – Liverpool?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.