Levante
Sevilla
Levante – Sevilla
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 11, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.27 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Levante at home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.27 goals for Levante and 1.19 for Sevilla. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Levante took 5 points and Sevilla 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Levante, 0 draws, 0 wins for Sevilla. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Levante | 2.75 | 35 % | +2.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | +3.4 % |
| 2Sevilla | 2.65 | 36 % | -16.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Levante
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sevilla
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Levante
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Sevilla
- Levante2-0Sevilla
- Sevilla0-3Levante
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Levante – Sevilla?
Our model gives 1 · Levante a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Levante win 37 %, draw 31 %, Sevilla win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Levante – Sevilla?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.