KFUM Arena
KFUM Oslo
Vålerenga
KFUM Oslo – Vålerenga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 11, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 1.58
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards KFUM Oslo at home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.49 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.58 for Vålerenga. Bookmakers say the same thing: 34 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, KFUM Oslo took 7 points and Vålerenga 3 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for KFUM Oslo, 2 draws, 1 win for Vålerenga. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1KFUM Oslo | 2.75 | 34 % | +2.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -5.1 % |
| 2Vålerenga | 2.30 | 41 % | -15.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
KFUM Oslo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vålerenga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- KFUM Oslo
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Vålerenga
- Vålerenga2-2KFUM Oslo
- Vålerenga1-1KFUM Oslo
- KFUM Oslo0-1Vålerenga
Frequently asked questions
Who will win KFUM Oslo – Vålerenga?
Our model gives 1 · KFUM Oslo a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: KFUM Oslo win 37 %, draw 26 %, Vålerenga win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for KFUM Oslo – Vålerenga?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.