Talleres (Córdoba)
Independiente
Talleres (Córdoba) – Independiente
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.15 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38 %
- Both teams to score
- 45 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Talleres (Córdoba) at home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.15 goals for Talleres (Córdoba) and 1.07 for Independiente. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, Talleres (Córdoba) took 4 points and Independiente 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Talleres (Córdoba), 0 draws, 1 win for Independiente. Over 2.5 goals: 38 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Talleres (Córdoba) | 2.25 | 42 % | -18.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -5.7 % |
| 2Independiente | 3.30 | 28 % | +10.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Talleres (Córdoba)
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Independiente
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Talleres (Córdoba)
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Independiente
- Independiente1-2Talleres (Córdoba)
- Independiente1-2Talleres (Córdoba)
- Talleres (Córdoba)2-3Independiente
- Independiente1-3Talleres (Córdoba)
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Talleres (Córdoba) – Independiente?
Our model gives 1 · Talleres (Córdoba) a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Talleres (Córdoba) win 36 %, draw 30 %, Independiente win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for Talleres (Córdoba) – Independiente?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.