Racing Club
Belgrano (Córdoba)
Racing Club – Belgrano (Córdoba)
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39 %
- Both teams to score
- 45 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Racing Club at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.22 goals for Racing Club and 1.02 for Belgrano (Córdoba). Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Racing Club took 6 points and Belgrano (Córdoba) 9 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Racing Club, 1 draw, 0 wins for Belgrano (Córdoba). Over 2.5 goals: 39 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Racing Club | 2.35 | 40 % | -5.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 31 % | -9.0 % |
| 2Belgrano (Córdoba) | 3.20 | 29 % | -6.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Racing Club
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Racing Club
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Belgrano (Córdoba)1-2Racing Club
- Belgrano (Córdoba)0-1Racing Club
- Racing Club4-0Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Belgrano (Córdoba)4-4Racing Club
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Racing Club – Belgrano (Córdoba)?
Our model gives 1 · Racing Club a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Racing Club win 40 %, draw 30 %, Belgrano (Córdoba) win 29 %.
What is the most likely score for Racing Club – Belgrano (Córdoba)?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.