Operário PR
Goiás
Operário PR – Goiás
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.33 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Operário PR at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.33 goals for Operário PR and 1.10 for Goiás. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Operário PR took 5 points and Goiás 9 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Operário PR, 0 draws, 3 wins for Goiás. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Operário PR | 2.15 | 43 % | -7.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 29 % | -8.1 % |
| 2Goiás | 3.40 | 27 % | -5.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Operário PR
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Goiás
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Operário PR
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Goiás
- Goiás0-3Operário PR
- Goiás2-1Operário PR
- Operário PR1-2Goiás
- Goiás3-0Operário PR
- Operário PR2-0Goiás
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Operário PR – Goiás?
Our model gives 1 · Operário PR a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Operário PR win 43 %, draw 29 %, Goiás win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Operário PR – Goiás?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.