Atlético Goianiense
Sport
Atlético Goianiense – Sport
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.70 – 0.88
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Atlético Goianiense at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.70 goals for Atlético Goianiense and 0.88 for Sport. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atlético Goianiense took 9 points and Sport 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Atlético Goianiense, 2 draws, 0 wins for Sport. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlético Goianiense | 1.74 | 54 % | -1.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -9.1 % |
| 2Sport | 4.50 | 21 % | -18.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Atlético Goianiense
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sport
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Atlético Goianiense
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Sport
- Sport1-1Atlético Goianiense
- Sport0-0Atlético Goianiense
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atlético Goianiense – Sport?
Our model gives 1 · Atlético Goianiense a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atlético Goianiense win 57 %, draw 25 %, Sport win 18 %.
What is the most likely score for Atlético Goianiense – Sport?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.