KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
KVC Westerlo – Antwerp
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.51 – 1.27
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards KVC Westerlo at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.51 goals for KVC Westerlo and 1.27 for Antwerp. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, KVC Westerlo took 10 points and Antwerp 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for KVC Westerlo, 0 draws, 3 wins for Antwerp. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1KVC Westerlo | 2.15 | 44 % | -2.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -1.7 % |
| 2Antwerp | 3.00 | 31 % | -15.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
KVC Westerlo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Antwerp
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- KVC Westerlo
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Antwerp
- Antwerp2-0KVC Westerlo
- KVC Westerlo2-4Antwerp
- Antwerp0-2KVC Westerlo
- KVC Westerlo2-0Antwerp
- Antwerp3-2KVC Westerlo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win KVC Westerlo – Antwerp?
Our model gives 1 · KVC Westerlo a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: KVC Westerlo win 45 %, draw 27 %, Antwerp win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for KVC Westerlo – Antwerp?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.