Sparebanken Sor Arena
IK Start
Hamarkameratene
IK Start – Hamarkameratene
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.68 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards IK Start at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.68 goals for IK Start and 1.23 for Hamarkameratene. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, IK Start took 6 points and Hamarkameratene 1 point. In recent meetings: 0 wins for IK Start, 0 draws, 1 win for Hamarkameratene. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IK Start | 1.95 | 48 % | -5.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -1.4 % |
| 2Hamarkameratene | 3.50 | 27 % | -12.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
IK Start
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hamarkameratene
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- IK Start
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Hamarkameratene
- Hamarkameratene2-1IK Start
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IK Start – Hamarkameratene?
Our model gives 1 · IK Start a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IK Start win 49 %, draw 26 %, Hamarkameratene win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for IK Start – Hamarkameratene?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.