LASK Linz
Rapid Vienna
LASK Linz – Rapid Vienna
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.00 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards LASK Linz at home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.00 goals for LASK Linz and 1.18 for Rapid Vienna. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, LASK Linz took 7 points and Rapid Vienna 10 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for LASK Linz, 0 draws, 2 wins for Rapid Vienna. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1LASK Linz | 1.80 | 52 % | +0.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 23 % | +1.3 % |
| 2Rapid Vienna | 3.75 | 25 % | -28.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
LASK Linz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rapid Vienna
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- LASK Linz
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Rapid Vienna
- LASK Linz3-1Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna4-2LASK Linz
- LASK Linz3-0Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna0-2LASK Linz
- Rapid Vienna3-0LASK Linz
Frequently asked questions
Who will win LASK Linz – Rapid Vienna?
Our model gives 1 · LASK Linz a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: LASK Linz win 56 %, draw 25 %, Rapid Vienna win 19 %.
What is the most likely score for LASK Linz – Rapid Vienna?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.